About directions to Blyth Battery on Thursday 25th December 2025
A quick look at the directions to Blyth BESS as part of managing Actual MSL1 and Actual MSL2 in South Australia on Thursday 25th December 2025.
Minimum System Load (MSL)
New lowest points for ‘Market Demand’ in both VIC and SA on Thursday 25th December 2025 (Christmas Day)
Cool and clear conditions in the south of the NEM sees new 'lowest ever' points for Market Demand established in both VIC and SA on Thursday 25th December 2025.
AEMC release the ‘2026 Reliability Standard and Setting Review’ draft report on Thursday 27th Nov 2025
The AEMC has published its draft 2026 Reliability Standard and Settings Review, setting out the Panel’s preliminary views on the future reliability standard and how the market should clear during minimum system load events.
AEMO directs again in South Australia for Minimum System Load – Wednesday 12th November 2025 (second day in a row)
For the second day in a row, AEMO has issued direction (to Torrens Island BESS) due to concerns about Minimum System Load in South Australia - with today's on Wednesday 12th November 2025.
More, about noisy MSL warnings for South Australia … and an Actual MSL2 and AEMO Direction on Tuesday 11th November 2025
Second article about forecast (and actual) Minimum System Load conditions in South Australia ... and Directions as a result (on Tuesday 11th November 2025).
Forecast Minimum System Load for Victoria next Saturday 25th October 2025
A short note to flag MN129813 looking forward to next Saturday 25th October 2025, flagging possible MSL1 in Victoria.
Update to Constraint Violation Penalty (CVP) Factors – effective 19th September 2025
Referencing AEMO's MN129117 published Tuesday 16th September 2025 with respect to this Friday 19th September 2025.
AEMO publishes ‘Statement of Need’ for MSL Transitional Services
AEMO has, on Monday 23rd December 2024 published this Statement of Need for MSL Transitional Services.
AEMO forecasts a (second ever?) MSL2-level ‘Minimum System Load’ for Victoria on Sunday 22nd December 2024
Worth noting MN122275 published at 15:51 on Thursday 19th December 2024 being what I believe might be the second-ever forecast for the tighter MSL2- level alert for the coming Sunday 22nd December 2024.
AEMO issues forecast MSL2 for VIC on Sunday 10th November 2024
At 08:53 on Monday morning 4th November 2024, AEMO published MN119852 looking forwards to this coming Sunday 10th November 2024 and a (first ever?) forecast MSL2 condition for Victoria.
AEMO notifies of Actual MSL1 in Victoria, on Sunday 3rd November 2024
I’m not sure we’ve ever had an Actual MSL1 event before, so worth a quick note referencing Market Notice MN119760 published at 11:49 noting an Actual MSL1 in Victoria.
AEMO updates its forecasts for MSL1 in Victoria for coming days ….
With the AEMO's overview of its Minimum System Load 'hot off the press' on Friday 1st Nov 2024 - there's forecasts for MSL1 on Sat 2nd, Sun 3rd and Tue 5th Nov 2024.
AEMO publishes an overview of their ‘Minimum System Load procedure’ for Victoria
The AEMO’s publication today (Fri 1st Nov 2024) of their ‘Victorian Minimum System Load Procedure Overview’ 3-page PDF document will be well received.
Forecast MSL1 in Victoria for Tuesday 5th November 2024 (a.k.a. Melbourne Cup Day)
AEMO’s broadcast today of an MSL1 alert for a weekday next week (albeit Melbourne Cup) is notable
AEMO updates forecast MSL1 for Victoria for today (Saturday 26th October 2024)
At 09:01 (NEM time) on Saturday 26th October 2024 the AEMO has published MN119423 to update their forecast for MSL1 today in Victoria
Is the bottom going to fall out of ‘Market Demand’ on a NEM-wide basis tomorrow (Sat 26th Oct 2024)
We wondered what the very, very low demand forecast for NSW (on Sat 26th Oct 2024) that might mean for NEM-wide demand – so we flipped the ‘Forecast Convergence’ widgets to look at NEM-wide...
(Belated note about) Thursday’s AEMO market notice about forecast MSL1 for Sunday 27th October 2024
At 14:52 on Thursday 24th October the AEMO published MN119315 warning of forecast MSL1 on Sunday 27th October 2024.
AEMO forecasts MSL1 in VIC for Saturday 26th October 2024
AEMO has published MN119194 on Tuesday afternoon 22nd October 2024 at 15:13 about forecast MSL1 for Victoria on Saturday 26th October 2024.
A clarification, about those instances of (potential or actual) disconnection of distributed/rooftop PV
On Thursday 10th October 2024, we published ‘What happened with System Load in VIC on Friday 27th and Saturday 28th September 2024?’ and, in doing so, listed some times when rooftop PV was disconnected...
Forecast ‘Minimum System Load’ (at MSL1 level) back again, for Saturday 12th October 2024
At 06:19 this morning (Saturday 12th October 2024) the AEMO published Market Notice 118803 re-instating the warning for forecast Minimum System Load (at MSL1) in Victoria.