Six different lenses to view the ESOO 2025 … giving wildly different perspectives
About 4 weeks ago the 2025 ESOO was released. In this article we highlight 3 x 2 different ways this might be viewed - and note some other dimensions not considered.
a model is just a model
‘the ISP Step Change Scenario is divorced from reality’
A short note about some comments made by Oliver Nunn during the 'Faster than Forecast' session at Queensland Clean Energy Summit on Mon 15th Sept 2025.
‘June 12 was one of the most challenging days of the last 4 years’
It was with interest that one of our team members noted David Osmond’s comment earlier today when he said 'June 12 was one of the most challenging days of the last 4 years ...'
Once through the ESOO (for 2024)
After an initial skim through the 2024 ESOO, here's (the start of) a collation of thoughts that it triggers.
Low wind yield (again!) during sunset … this time Saturday evening 25th May 2024
For (at least) the third evening in a row (i.e. after sunset, and in line with evening peak in demand) aggregate production from all wind farms across the NEM has been quite low ......
AEMO releases an update to the 2023 ESOO on Tuesday 21st May 2024
It's Tuesday 21st May 2024 and the AEMO has published an update to the 2023 ESOO ... about 8 months since the publication of the prior release, and 4 months before the 2024 ESOO....
‘Another challenging week’ for VRE NEM-wide, beginning Wednesday 8th May 2024
Coincidentally today, David Osmond has posted about 'another challenging week' for VRE NEM-wide (a week beginning Wed 8th May 2024 - the day NSW hit the Cumulative Price Threshold).
Bruce Mountain’s commentary about Eraring (and the Energy Transition) is worth a read
Today (Wed 15th May 2024) Bruce Mountain writes an opinion piece in the Australian about the recent run of Administered Pricing in NSW, and what it means for the looming closure of Eraring and...
Simshauser/Gilmore Working Paper speaks to challenges for gas-fired firming
A short article this morning to note about a Working Paper from CAEEPR that touches on important (and not well understood?) aspects of this energy transition, as it relates to Firming Capacity requirements.
A precis of the ‘Exploring Wind Diversity’ analysis completed in Appendix 27 of GenInsights21
Almost 2.5 years since we released GenInsights21, today we're publishing this article that contains a precis of the analysis included as Appendix 27 under the title 'Exploring Wind Diversity'.
Here’s 7 Observations that jumped out to me in a first skim of the 2023 ESOO
Apart from a distraction early this morning, I've invested some hours today in review of the 2023 ESOO. Here's 7 initial observations that jumped out at me.
AEMO releases 2023 ESOO on Thursday 31st August 2023 (Australia’s NEM is perched on the edge)
AEMO notes that 'Australia's NEM is perched on the edge' in the 2023 ESOO, released today (Thu 31st Aug 2023)
The VEPC paper ‘No longer lost in transmission’, and the AEMO response
An article today referencing the VEPC paper 'No longer lost in transmission' (about extended VNI-West, and the authors proposed alternative 'Plan B') and the AEMO's initial response.
Analysis Paralysis – where has our engineering gone?
Kate Summers gave this speech about the 'paralysis by analysis' currently occurring in the energy industry at Melbourne's All-Energy Australia Conference on Wednesday 26th of October.
A model’s just a model – it’s not reality (though some models might be useful)
Models are simplifications of reality. Some are more precise than others. Some are useful for different purposes.