Supply-side capacity in the NEM over the next 24 years (v2)
In the early years of the ISP trajectories, we observe coal retirements happening sooner than slated. For example, Accelerated Transition has all coal retired by July 2033.
In the early years of the ISP trajectories, we observe coal retirements happening sooner than slated. For example, Accelerated Transition has all coal retired by July 2033.
It’s Thursday 25th June 2026 and, as it is required to do, the AEMO has released the 2026 iteration of the Integrated System Plan.
In the draft 2026 ISP, the AEMO materially increased wind capacity factor assumptions for several renewable energy zones. In this article, we compare those assumptions against actual capacity and availability factors for wind units across the NEM in 2025.
Today (Wednesday 10th December 2025) the AEMO has released the much-awaited* draft of the (upcoming 2026 iteration of the) Integrated System Plan .