Paul was one of the founders of Global-Roam in February 2000. He is currently the CEO of the company and the principal author of WattClarity. Writing for WattClarity has become a natural extension of his work in understanding the electricity market, enabling him to lead the team in developing better software for clients.
Before co-founding the company, Paul worked as a Mechanical Engineer for the Queensland Electricity Commission in the early 1990s. He also gained international experience in Japan, the United States, Canada, the UK, and Argentina as part of his ES Cornwall Memorial Scholarship.
Here’s a snapshot of NEMwatch at the 17:50 dispatch interval (NEM time) highlighting evening volatility in the QLD and NSW regions as we pass beyond sunset on this warm-for-November day.
A very short article for Wednesday 6th November 2024, such that we might follow up later, to note the following two wobbles in frequency in the mainland NEM today
A short record of a significant drop of ‘Market Demand’ in South Australia on Tuesday afternoon 5th November 2024 … down 710MW (or 60% of the initial value) in 20 minutes.
In Part 4 of this Case Study (with respect to spot price volatility in South Australia on Monday 23rd September 2024) we take a detailed look at the ‘S_PPT+SNPT+BLVR_220’ Constraint Equation, which was particularly meaningful in terms of dispatch outcomes…
In Part 3 of this Case Study, we look specifically at the 12 dispatch intervals at the start of the ‘Evening blast of spot price volatility in South Australia on Monday 23rd September 2024’ … roughly 6 weeks ago.
At 08:53 on Monday morning 4th November 2024, AEMO published MN119852 looking forwards to this coming Sunday 10th November 2024 and a (first ever?) forecast MSL2 condition for Victoria.
There was an ‘Evening blast of spot price volatility in South Australia on Monday 23rd September 2024’ … roughly 6 weeks ago. Today, for several reasons, we start to take a closer look.
I’m not sure we’ve ever had an Actual MSL1 event before, so worth a quick note referencing Market Notice MN119760 published at 11:49 noting an Actual MSL1 in Victoria.
Worth a short note, given the alerts from ez2view have continued to buzz in recent days, as the AEMO continues to update forecast LOR2 warnings for both QLD and NSW regions for Thursday 7th November 2024.
Friday afternoon 1st November 2024 our copies of ez2view did alert us to the restart of the STWF1 unit, just prior to the 16:40 dispatch interval (NEM time).
With the AEMO’s overview of its Minimum System Load ‘hot off the press’ on Friday 1st Nov 2024 – there’s forecasts for MSL1 on Sat 2nd, Sun 3rd and Tue 5th Nov 2024.
Some wobbles in System Frequency (NEM mainland) through the middle of the day on Thursday 31st October 2024 stick out, and will be progressively explored.
A short (and belated) article with respect to a sizeable error in P30 predispatch forecast for ‘Market Demand’ in QLD on Tuesday evening 29th October 2024;
Some good news I saw (on Wednesday morning 30th Oct 2024) was that Broken Hill might be reconnected to the wider grid (albeit on the temporary towers for now) as early as this Saturday 2nd November 2024 – via this LinkedIn update from Penny Sharpe, Energy Minister.