A short record of gas prices being up at $20/GJ and above through a cold spell for winter, with other factors at work.
Articles by Paul McArdle
Quick notes about the winter evening peak in demand on Monday 5th July 2021
A rainy Saturday morning reminds us the price volatility for Q2 in QLD has not totally gone away … with elevated prices for ENERGY and also Contingency FCAS (Raise 6 second and Raise 60 second).
Here’s one big reason why the high outcome for Q2 time-weighted average spot prices were so far away from the (much lower) expectations in all 4 regions at the start of the quarter.
On Friday evening (2nd July 2021) Yallourn 4 returned to service
Now making it 5 out of the past 6 years, we return to the analysis of electricity (spot and futures) pricing patterns for Q2 periods across the NEM regions … and also in Western Australia. We see a number of ways in which Q2 2021 was ‘anything but boring’!
An updated view of the return to service schedule of Callide C3 and C4 … along with Yallourn unit 4.
On Thursday last week the AEMC published a Draft Determination in response to an application by AEC to combat one form of ‘Villain #8’ in relation to Registration of generators under the mandatory 30MW registration threshold.
Yallourn now has 3 units back online, with return-to-service (RTS) of Yallourn unit 2 on Sunday 27th June 2021.
A short article marking (yet) another volatile evening in the NEM in this ‘elephant’ of a Q2 2021… now with some added challenges for gas-fired generation.
Following Saturday’s review of changed expectations for Callide Power Station and Yallourn Power Station, I took a look at aggregate expectation by fuel type. Here’s a belated article with the results.
A few recent developments have prompted this article about Villain no8, a villain initially contemplated prior to my ‘forecast of sorts’ back at Clean Energy Summit in July 2017.
After taking a quick look at the Callide units, we’ve also used ez2view to have a quick look at the Yallourn units to see when they are scheduled to return.
A quick look this afternoon sees that the return to service for Callide B2 has been delayed a few days since I last looked during the week.
A series of questions about what’s happening at Newport Power Station prompted me to have a quick look…
A short note about return to service of Kogan Creek power station early this morning.
A short note to follow up on the welcome return-to-service of Callide B1.
The volatility that has been with us for weeks now (particularly QLD and NSW), and the dramas unfolding at Callide power station, prompted me to have a broader look at the availability of black coal plant across QLD and NSW, and compare this to prior Q2 periods.
Late yesterday I noted how the situation at Yallourn was more complex than we had been initially thinking, so it was no surprise to see Yallourn unit 3 come back…
With expectations set last week that Callide B1 would be back online yesterday at minimum load, I’ve had a quick look and can’t see it yet…