LOR2 notices continue to flash for NSW and QLD for this Thursday 7th Nov 2024
A quick look at market notices and our forecast convergence widget in ez2view, to check in with projected tight market conditions this coming Thursday in NSW and QLD.
Articles by Dan Lee
Dan Lee first started at Global-Roam in June 2013. He has departed (and returned) for a couple of stints overseas in that time, but rejoined our team permanently in late 2019.
More recently, Dan's focus has been on growing his understanding of the market and developing his analytical capabilities. He is currently enrolled in the Master of Sustainable Energy program at the University of Queensland.
Down for the count: eight separate transmission tower failure incidents in less than five years
A map of where the eight separate transmission tower incidents have occurred over the past five years.
ElectraNet provide update that 29 transmission structures went down in SA, during last night’s weather event
ElectraNet are reporting that at least twenty-three transmission towers and six 132kV stobie poles fell down or were damaged during last night’s wild weather.
Olympic Dam now offline, as SA demand was already forecasted to go negative this weekend
Several media outlets are reporting that Olympic Dam in South Australia has lost power, which may cause headaches for system operators with demand in South Australia forecast to go negative this weekend.
How is the stockpile of temporary transmission towers around Australia looking?
Given recent events, we’re asking a rhetorical question about how many temporary transmission towers there are currently in Australia?
Seven transmission towers collapse near Broken Hill overnight
ABC Broken Hill has reported that seven transmission towers collapsed south of the town overnight due to strong winds and hail.
So long solo solar, and hi hybrids?
A summary of the key challenges facing standalone solar and wind farms over the past several years, along with discussion and thoughts about whether new rules surrounding hybrids systems will address these.
Several spurts of price volatility in South Australia on Tue 24th of September 2024
Several isolated price spikes have occurred in SA late this afternoon.
Ninth time is the charm: Callide C4’s return was another example of an overly optimistic timeline in the NEM
A chart showing the countdown to expected RTS for Callide C4, compared to the actual outage timeline.
AEMO forecasting an LOR2 condition for SA tomorrow evening September 10th, 2024
A quick look at our forecast convergence widget, with the AEMO currently forecasting an LOR2 in SA tomorrow evening.
AEMO ends ‘East Coast Gas System Risk or Threat Notice’
This morning the AEMO revoked its gas supply warning notice that was issued in mid-June.
What the last twenty years of the ESOO tells us about blackout predictions
After skimming through the last twenty editions of the ESOO over the past couple of days, Dan shares some thoughts about what has and hasn’t changed over the years.
How rare are simultaneous price spikes in all five NEM regions, like what we saw last night?
A short examination of some of the over-arching factors at play yesterday evening – where prices spiked above $3,000/MWh in all five regions simultaneously.
Rare NEM-wide price spikes on Monday July 29th 2024
Already this evening we’ve seen a rare occurrence of price spikes in all five NEM regions simultaneously.
Bout of high prices in SA on Sunday evening July 28th 2024
The South Australian region is seeing a run of high prices, starting just after 6pm this evening.
A tale of two mega-projects: Project Energy Connect and Snowy 2.0 timelines (Part 2)
In the second half of this two-part case study we look at a timeline of the Snowy 2.0 project, and discuss the history of mega-projects in the NEM.
A tale of two mega-projects: Project Energy Connect and Snowy 2.0 timelines (Part 1)
A timeline of evolving expectations for the cost, benefits, and delivery dates for Project Energy Connect – following news of recent issues surrounding the project.
Barron Gorge Power Station returns to service approximately six months after significant damage from Cyclone Jasper
CleanCo have announced the RTS of Barron Gorge Unit 1 and 2 after a ~6 month outage following significant damage from Cyclone Jasper.
A bounce back: a review of Q2 2024 prices
We just witnessed another eventful Q2, with at least four drivers contributing to significant price volatility. This is our annual review of Q2 prices, where we compare these outcomes against the long-term trend.
ABC report that the highest air pressure ever recorded in Australia was observed this morning, and likely to peak again this Saturday
The ABC report that a notable weather record was broken in Tasmania this morning, and opens questions about future wind lulls and a changing climate.