Forecast Minimum System Load for Victoria next Saturday 25th October 2025

A short note to flag MN129813 published at 14:16 (NEM time) on Sunday 19th October 2025 looking forward to next Saturday 25th October 2025, flagging possible Minimum System Load as follows:

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MARKET NOTICE
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From : AEMO
To : NEMITWEB1
Creation Date : 19/10/2025 14:16:27

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Notice ID : 129813
Notice Type ID : MINIMUM SYSTEM LOAD
Notice Type Description : MSL1/MSL2/MSL3
Issue Date : 19/10/2025
External Reference : Forecast Minimum System Load MSL1 condition in the VIC Region on 25/10/2025

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Reason :

AEMO ELECTRICITY MARKET NOTICE
Forecast Minimum System Load MSL1 condition in the VIC Region on 25/10/2025

AEMO has detected that there is an elevated risk of insufficient demand to maintain a secure operating state in the VIC on 25/10/2025.

Minimum System Load (MSL) conditions are forecast when demand is less than the relevant MSL threshold. The advisory MSL thresholds are:
– MSL1 – 1720 MW
– MSL2 – 1220 MW
– MSL3 – 720 MW

The demand is forecast to be below the MSL1 threshold for the following period[s]:
– From 1230 hrs 25/10/2025 to 1300 hrs 25/10/2025. Minimum demand is forecast to be 1695 MW at 1300 hrs.

Forecast demand refers to forecast Operational Demand that excludes contribution from Significant Non-Scheduled Generation: see definitions at https://aemo.com.au/energy-systems/electricity/national-electricity-market-nem/data-nem/operational-demand-data .

Manager NEM Real Time Operations

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END OF REPORT
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