AEMO issues forecast MSL2 for VIC on Sunday 10th November 2024

We’re not going to make a habit of publishing articles each times there’s a forecast Minimum System Load condition for Victoria, as these types of forecasts* are likely to be commonplace as another sign of the ongoing energy transition

* one more type of forecast from AEMO intended to encourage some form of market response.

But worth noting MN119852 published Monday morning 4th November 2024 looking forwards to this coming Sunday 10th November 2024 and a (first ever?) forecast MSL2 condition for Victoria:

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MARKET NOTICE
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From :              AEMO
To   :              NEMITWEB1
Creation Date :     04/11/2024     08:53:24

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Notice ID               :         119852
Notice Type ID          :         MINIMUM SYSTEM LOAD
Notice Type Description :         MSL1/MSL2/MSL3
Issue Date              :         04/11/2024
External Reference      :         Forecast Minimum System Load MSL2 condition in the VIC region on 10/11/2024

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Reason :

AEMO ELECTRICITY MARKET NOTICE

AEMO has detected that there is an elevated risk of insufficient demand to maintain a secure operating state in the VIC region on 10/11/2024.

Minimum System Load (MSL) conditions are forecast when regional demand is less than the relevant MSL threshold. The advisory MSL thresholds are:
– MSL1 = 1760 MW
– MSL2 = 1260 MW
– MSL3 = 760 MW

The regional demand is forecast to be below the MSL2 threshold for the following period:

From 1230 hrs 10/11/2024 to 1330 hrs 10/11/2024. Minimum regional demand is forecast to be 1236 MW at 1300 hrs.

Forecast regional demand (DEMAND50) is published in Short Term and Pre-Dispatch PASA region solution reports available on Market Data NEMWEB: https://aemo.com.au/en/energy-systems/electricity/national-electricity-market-nem/data-nem/market-data-nemweb.

AEMO is seeking a market response.

AEMO Operations

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END OF REPORT
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Also worth a reminder that, on Friday 1st November, the ‘AEMO published an overview of their ‘Minimum System Load procedure’ for Victoria’. So readers can peruse that to understand more.

Nothing else, at this point?