Loy Yang A1 back online, Thursday evening 12th June 2025
The volatility of Thursday evening 12th June 2025 had ended by that time (though not by much), but it’s worth noting that the Loy Yang A1 unit commenced...
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NEM-wide IRPM drops to 10.34% on Thursday evening 12th June 2025
Another quick article about the low IRPM (instantaneous reserve plant margin) on Thursday 12th June 2025.
Low wind yield drops lower, on Thursday evening 12th June 2025
One other snippet of information to share this evening (Thursday 12th June 2025) is about the low NEM-wide wind harvest... lower than earlier forecasts.
A short-lived return to service for Yallourn unit 4
Worth a short note on Thursday 12th June 2025 to highlight the short-lived return to service at YWPS4:
Next blast of volatility–on Thursday evening 12th June 2025
Following yesterday evening's volatility, it's happening again on Thursday evening 12th June 2025.
North-south switcheroo as solar conditions swing opposite directions over Autumn 2025
Rainfall and cloud cover has split Australia this autumn, delivering a mixed bag of solar irradiance conditions for solar farms across the NEM.
An initial review of demand response on Wednesday 11 June 2025
Wednesday evening 11th June 2025 was a period of tight supply-demand balance, hence energy price volatility – and so this article reviews the response of the demand-side.
An initial walk through bidding during the volatility on Wednesday 11th June 2025
We take a first look at bidding across all units (aggregated up) for Wednesday 11th June 2025, with the volatile evening period of particular interest.
Brief summary of outcomes (Price, Demand and IRPM) for Wednesday evening 11th June 2025
We start with this colour-coded tabular record of a 4-hour period (16:00 to 20:00 NEM time on Wednesday 11th June 2025) as a reference point for further analysis...
Battery bidding is reshaping FCAS — But Demand Response remains a strategic asset
Paul Moore of Viotas look at recent supply-demand dynamics within the contingency FCAS markets and whether demand response can play a role.
High prices and tight spare supply, as NEM-wide IRPM drops down to 11.48% on Wednesday 11th June 2025
Cold weather this evening has brought prices above $7,000/MWh and tight reserve margins across the NEM.
Prices up in every region, on Wednesday evening 11th June 2025
A very quick note for Wednesday 11th June 2025 with this snapshot from NEMwatch at 17:00 (NEM time) to record the start of some elevated prices.
Examples of self-forecasting behaviours – part 5 – afternoon underestimations
A sequence of afternoon intervals stand out because the forecast appeared to be biased low – self-forecasts suddenly dropped roughly 30-40 percentage points and then increased a short...
AEMO notes increased forecast for Unserved Energy (USE) in QLD due to network outages scheduled between Tue 17th to Fri 20th June 2025
Yesterday (Tuesday 10th June 2025) at 14:21 the AEMO published MN127491 that noted 'The increase in USE in Queensland ... is primarily driven by network outages scheduled between...
Cold winter evening driving NEM-wide demand higher, such as on Tuesday 10th June 2025
A cold winter evening (Tuesday 10th June 2025) is driving electricity demand higher, as captured in this snapshot from NEMwatch at the 18:10 dispatch interval.
Examples of self-forecasting behaviours – part 4 – avoiding SDC periods
Theoretically, if a self-forecasting system never offers forecasts for more than 60% of intervals it may perpetually skip the performance assessment and the system could continue for use...
Unplanned outage at YWPS3 (tube leak) extended (due to air duct collapse)
Yallourn unit 3 came offline for a tube leak - but ABC reports (on Mon 9th June 2025) that 'an air duct in unit three collapsed during maintenance',...
Beyond the fence line: Why risk needs to be part of your renewable project narrative
This guest-authored post by Cameron Shield from Lockton follows on from his presentation at the CEC's Investor Forum earlier this year, where he urged the audience to "sell...
Release of Report into Broken Hill blackout in October 2024
On Thursday 5th June 2025, the NSW Government released its 158-page report into ‘The electricity outages affecting Far West NSW in October 2024’.
Forecast LORx conditions for QLD, NSW and VIC in the coming week
This article uses the ‘Forecast Convergence’ widget, snapshot from ez2view at 07:25 on Monday 9th June 2025 to sum up some changing forecasts for LOR1 and/or LOR2 in...