Early evening volatility in NSW (and QLD) on Sunday 18th May 2025
A short note to highlight some early evening volatility from 16:55 (NEM time) on Sunday 18th May 2025.
All Posts
Directions up to almost five a day
In this article we delve into the indicators we can uncover which point to the increase in market interventions and generator directions over recent years.
Five (re)bids for URANQ12 on on Tuesday 13th May 2025 – Part 3 of a Case Study
On Tuesday 13th May 2025 we quickly noted a period of volatility that was mainly focused on the NSW region. Here's a third step in understanding contributing factors...
Afternoon volatility begins in NSW on Wednesday 14th May 2025
Whilst in the process of publishing a look at yesterday, I wondered about the possibility of price volatility this evening ... and that's what happened.
Part 2 of a Case Study – looking into evening volatility in NSW on Tuesday 13th May 2025
Yesterday (Tuesday 13th May 2025) we quickly noted a period of volatility that was mainly focused on the NSW region. Here's a second step in understanding contributing factors...
CS Energy publishes about ‘Upgrading Reporting Processes …’ on Fri 9th May 2025
CS Energy published a media release on Friday 9th May 2025 'Upgrading Reporting Processes to Support the Electricity Maintenance Guarantee'
Callide C out of Voluntary Administration
A short not tying together several different notes about Callide C - the part buyout by 7GI and resurrection of out voluntary administration (and outage on C3).
Late afternoon volatility in NSW (and QLD!) on Tuesday 13th May 2025
From the 16:35 on Tue 13th May 2025 the price spiked in NSW above $10,000 (though there were a couple clues as to the possibility ahead of time).
AEMO and AER quarterly digests for 2025 Q1 released on the same day (Wednesday 7th May 2025)
We noticed last week that both quarterly digests from the AEMO and the AER for 2025 Q1 were released on the same day – Wednesday 7th May 2025.
A forecast LOR2 pops up for South Australia on Thursday 15th May 2025
At 14:03 on Monday 12th May 2025 (in MN126998) the AEMO flagged a 'forecast LOR2' for South Australia for midday on Thursday 15th May 2025.
Guest Authored Posts
Aligning business cases with the current, and future, reality
Following his presentation at the CEC's Wind Industry Forum, Jonathon Dyson shares lessons learned from helping developers and operators of wind projects in solidifying their business case.
Do we have enough gas to wait until nuclear comes along?
Tristan Edis of Green Energy Markets discusses the practicalities of the gap that must be filled by the gas sector under the nuclear power timeline proposed by the Federal Opposition.
Detailed Analysis
Is the price right? A historical exploration into the NEM’s price cap
Dan dives into the history of the NEM’s market cap and explores how high-end prices contribute to regional settlement costs and cap payouts.
Adoption and use of dispatch self-forecasting for wind units, Q1 2025
We summarise how wind units are using self-forecasting to-date. The analysis leads us to consider where upcoming market change may lead the industry.
Four days in the NEM in four minutes
Dan shares a short time-lapse video which demonstrates four days worth of activity in the NEM, highlighting the impact of network congestion in QLD and NSW.
How did Cyclone Alfred impact electricity demand?
By day-end on the Friday the 7th demand levels were down more than 40% in the Gold Coast. Other areas were also impacted.
Three headline observations, about the use of proxies for System Frequency in Frequency Control mechanisms
Various authors have shared articles about frequency, frequency control and Regulation FCAS in recent times (including 6 from Linton). Here's three things that jumped out to me in these pieces of analysis.
Is VRE forecastable? (Part 1 in what might be a series)
Over many years we've invested deeply in analysing the nuanced answer to the question 'Is VRE Forecastable?'. This article (which has almost been posted many times before) is triggered today by yet one more...
NEMDE nightmares – parallel pathways and clashing constraints
Prompted by a question by a client in a training session for a new ez2view user, guest author Allan O'Neil has written 2,940 words to explain the price outcome in one particular dispatch interval...
The state-of-charge for 2024: The highs and lows of the big battery boom
Following on from a similar review this time last year, Dan provides an updated look at the economics and performances within the NEM's big battery fleet, making use of our recently released GSD2024.