The rate of AEMO forecasts for MSL1– level ‘Minimum System Load’ alerts has picked up, to the point whereby we abandoned any attempt to follow each of them with WattClarity articles some time ago.
But worth noting MN122275 published at 15:51 on Thursday 19th December 2024 being what I believe might be the second*-ever forecast for the tighter MSL2– level alert for the coming Sunday 22nd December 2024 as follows:
* note that there was an earlier we wrote about in ‘AEMO issues forecast MSL2 for VIC on Sunday 10th November 2024’.
——————————————————————-
MARKET NOTICE
——————————————————————-
From : AEMO
To : NEMITWEB1
Creation Date : 19/12/2024 15:51:33
——————————————————————-
Notice ID : 122275
Notice Type ID : MINIMUM SYSTEM LOAD
Notice Type Description : MSL1/MSL2/MSL3
Issue Date : 19/12/2024
External Reference : Forecast Minimum System Load (MSL2) condition in the VIC region on 22/12/2024
——————————————————————-
Reason :
AEMO ELECTRICITY MARKET NOTICE
AEMO has detected that there is an elevated risk of insufficient demand to maintain a secure operating state in the VIC region on 22/12/2024.
Minimum System Load (MSL) conditions are forecast when regional demand is less than the relevant MSL threshold. The advisory MSL thresholds are:
o MSL1 – 1790 MW
o MSL2 – 1290 MW
o MSL3 – 790 MW
The regional demand is forecast to be below the MSL2 threshold for the following period:
From 1230 hrs 22/12/2024 to 1300 hrs 22/12/2024. Minimum regional demand is forecast to be 1289 MW at 1300 hrs.
Forecast regional demand (DEMAND50) is published in Short Term and Pre-Dispatch PASA region solution reports available on Market Data NEMWEB:
https://aemo.com.au/en/energy-systems/electricity/national-electricity-market-nem/data-nem/market-data-nemweb .
AEMO Operations
——————————————————————-
END OF REPORT
——————————————————————-
Nothing more, at this point.
Be the first to comment on "AEMO forecasts a (second ever?) MSL2-level ‘Minimum System Load’ for Victoria on Sunday 22nd December 2024"