ER03 now (again) slated to come offline early Thursday morning 25th September 2025
Following from the quick look at the unplanned outage for MP2 (now underway) there's some difference in the picture for the unplanned outage for ER03.
All Posts
Yes, MP2 did come offline in the early hours of Wednesday morning 24th September 2025
A short note looking at the commencement of the unplanned outage for MP2 on Wednesday morning 24th September 2025
AEMO oscillates warnings – possible need to intervene in NSW on Thu 25th Sept 2025 for System Strength reasons
At 15:30 today (Tuesday 23rd September 2025) the AEMO flagged in MN129259 a possible need to intervene in NSW this Thursday 25th September 2025 due to forecast low System Strength.
MT PASA shows forecast Low Reserve Conditions in both NSW (Aug-Sept 2027) and SA (Dec 2026 to March 2027)
Today's MT PASA update features forecast tight supply-demand balance in both the SA and NSW regions at various times - in terms of both annual Unserved Energy, and Low Reserve Conditions.
Mainstream media reports about blades lost at Flyers Creek Wind Farm
A brief, belated and back-dated article to point to the ABC news article about the damage at Flyers Creek Wind Farm (and
Belatedly noting 16 winners announced (on Tuesday 16th September 2025) in Capacity Investment Scheme auctions
Coincident with last week's CEC's QCES in Brisbane, the Federal Government announced 16 winners for 'Tender 3' of the Capacity Investment Scheme.
Prices for Lower Regulation FCAS elevated across the mainland Sunday afternoon 21st September 2025
A short article looking at some elevated prices for Regulation Lower FCAS on Sunday afternoon 21st September 2025
A brief recap of a large afternoon frequency wobble on the NEM mainland on Saturday 20th September 2025
We noticed yesterday (Saturday 20th September 2025) a large afternoon dip in frequency down towards (but not outside) the limits of the NOFB - and briefly explore here.
A clean break: Wivenhoe and Swanbank operating profiles pre and post CleanCo takeover
Prompted by a presentation from CleanCo’s Rimu Nelson at the Queensland Energy Summit, Dan examines how operational and bidding patterns at Wivenhoe and Swanbank E have evolved since CleanCo assumed control in 2019.
Australian Government vows to cut its emissions by 62 to 70 per cent by 2035
On Thursday 18th September 2025, the much-awaited announcement has been made about our climate targets for 2035.
Guest Authored Posts
24 GW in 24 months, a race against time for the NEM
Following his presentation at All-Energy in Melbourne last week, David Dixon reports on the state of the NEM's ambition to reach 82% renewables by 2030.
The implications of the Solar Sharer Offer (SSO) and Default Market Offer (DMO) review outcome on energy sellers
In this guest-authored article, Connor James explains the upcoming changes to the DMO, including the much publicised Solar Sharer Offer (SSO), and potential implications for energy sellers in NSW, SEQ, and SA.
Detailed Analysis
Two big reasons why we’re engaging in forensic analysis of NEM events
There are a number of reasons why we're completing the analysis we are sharing via WattClarity - here are two big ones.
Do you know of people who can help us?
Readers at WattClarity might recall that we have asked the question above a couple of times in recent weeks – and a big thanks to those who responded already! We’re blessed with opportunities at...
5 FAQs we’re asked about the Generator Report Card (for discussion at AIE this evening)
We've been invited by the Australian Institute of Energy (AIE) to speak this evening in Sydney about some of the lessons learnt in the process of completing our Generator Report Card. Here's some context...
Villain #5 – not focusing on the real problems
Fifteen months after first speaking at Clean Energy Summit about the train wreck that's ongoing in terms of our mismanaged energy transition (and coincident with another industry gathering in the form of the AFR...
Analytical Challenge – In a complex system like the NEM, it’s almost always numerous factors/changes that combine to produce an outcome
All too often people (including us sometimes, unfortunately) are quick to attribute some particular outcome to a single contributing factor. Almost always this is an over-simplification.
Analytical Challenge – remembering that it’s impossible to know motive (but does not stop us guessing)
Highlighting the temptation to ascribe motivation to others - despite the fact that we understand that we can never know for sure.
If I were going to perform an objective review of what happened last Thursday 18th and Friday 19th, here’s a couple things I would look into…
A starting list of all the factors I would like to delve into, in order to perform an objective review of what happened last Thursday and Friday in Victoria and South Australia
Analytical Challenge – avoiding Recency Bias
Flagging the ongoing challenge of not extrapolating from recent performance to infer that "things" will always be that way.