AEMO's ST PASA forecasts suggests that we might see a ~3 day period of stronger aggregate production from wind farms across the NEM to finish off the month or May 2024.
The pattern of low aggregate wind production in the evenings after sunset (whilst demand is still peaking) continues ... into Sunday 26th May 2024.
Eraring Unit 2 commenced return to service on Saturday afternoon 25th May 2024.
For (at least) the third evening in a row (i.e. after sunset, and in line with evening peak in demand) aggregate production from all wind farms across the NEM has been quite low ......
A similar situation to wrap the working week (on Friday 24th May 2024) with low wind yield across the NEM persisting.
As the sun sets on Thursday 23rd May 2024 (the day of the announcement of the extension to the Eraring service life) we see aggregate wind yield dropping below 500MW.
A question from a WattClarity reader this morning prompts this quick-and-cryptic review of NSW price volatility at 18:10 on Monday 20th May 2024, and particular output profile of Queanbeyan BESS
On Tuesday morning 21st May 2024 the Vales Point 6 unit has returned to service, ~2 days earlier than earlier expectations.
A short record of some evening volatility in NSW on Monday 20th May 2024.
Since the update Saturday morning, the Market Notices (relating to forecast LOR* in NSW on [some day]) have continued ... here's an update.
In part 2 of a Case Study about Thursday 22nd February 2024 - specifically looking at Aggregate Dispatch Error across all Semi-Scheduled units (and in this part 2 looking just at 14:15).
Finding some time to make some progress in compiling GenInsights Quarterly Updates for 2024 Q1, here's a short Case Study of Thursday 22nd February 2024 (a day that saw significant collective under-performance of Semi-Scheduled...
An early afternoon look (Sat 18th May 2024) about the delays in return to service for the forced outages at two NSW coal units (Eraring unit 2 and Vales Point unit 6).
Following numerous Market Notices overnight pertaining to Forecast LOR2 (or LOR1) in NSW for a number of coming days, here's a summary on Saturday morning 18th May 2024 using 'Forecast Convergence' from ez2view.
Another 'forecast LOR2' notice from AEMO ... this time looking at Sunday evening 19th may 2024.
A quick look at the trip of Vales Point unit 6 on Friday afternoon 17th May 2024.
A deeper dive into the geographic spread of wind farm generation and curtailment last Wednesday evening including a look into wind conditions and network topology.
An update (via Market Notice at 11:21) on the forecast LOR2 for NSW for Monday morning 20th May 2024.
An update on LinkedIn by an electricity retail broker (Choice Energy) prompts this update on NSW electricity futures price movements.
A new data update from AEMO confirms the suspicion that (based on current expectations) Eraring unit 2 is now offline until Tuesday 21st May 2024.