‘Market Demand’ in NSW drops below the prior ‘lowest ever*’ point
From the 12:05 dispatch interval, today’s series of SMS alerts has started from the 12:05 dispatch interval (NEM time) announcing new ‘lowest ever*’ points for ‘Market Demand’ in NSW.
minimum demand
Is the bottom going to fall out of ‘Market Demand’ on a NEM-wide basis tomorrow (Sat 26th Oct 2024)
We wondered what the very, very low demand forecast for NSW (on Sat 26th Oct 2024) that might mean for NEM-wide demand – so we flipped the ‘Forecast Convergence’ widgets to look at NEM-wide ‘Market Demand’ and our jaws hit the floor …
Long-term trend of monthly minimum ‘Market Demand’ in NSW … prior to forecast lowest point on Sat 26th Oct 2024
With forecasts for a very, very low level of ‘Market Demand’ tomorrow (Sat 26th Oct 2024) in NSW, here’s a longer term trend to show how it would fit in context.
Is the bottom going to fall out of the NSW ‘Market Demand’ tomorrow (Saturday 26th October 2024)?
It was only 5 days (on Sunday 20th October 2024) when we saw a new ‘lowest ever*’ point for ‘Market Demand’ in NSW … so we’re amazed to see AEMO forecasting a low point for tomorrow (Sat 26th Oct) a fully 15% lower than that ‘lowest ever’ point.
New ‘lowest ever*’ point of NSW ‘Market Demand’, on Sunday 20th October 2024
In the following dispatch interval (11:50 on Sunday 20th October 2024) the level of ‘Market Demand’ fell ~200MW … below the prior ‘lowest ever*’ point set a few weeks earlier.
‘Market Demand’ in South Australia falls to ‘lowest ever’ point on Saturday 19th October 2024
The ‘Market Demand’ in South Australia has fallen to its lowest ever point, on Saturday 19th October, and is forecast to fall lower still (in part because Olympic Dam is offline).
Lowest point for ‘Market Demand’ in NSW drops lower, on Sunday 6th October 2024
A short article capturing a new lowest point for ‘Market Demand’ in NSW on Sunday 8th October 2024.
Forecast ‘Market Demand’ for 12:00 on Saturday 28th Sept 2024 in VIC falls below MSL2 alert level
Third article already on Friday 27th Sept 2024, looking forwards to a forecast ‘Minimum System Load’ event in Victoria in parallel with the AFL Grand Final tomorrow (Sat 28th Sept 2024). Forecasts now down below MSL2?
AEMO updates ‘Minimum System Load’ alert for VIC on Saturday 28th Sept 2024 … trending down towards MSL2
Third article already on Friday morning 27th Sept 2024, looking forwards to a forecast ‘Minimum System Load’ event in Victoria in parallel with the AFL Grand Final tomorrow (Sat 28th Sept 2024).
Updated long-term trend of Victorian minimum demand
With forecasts for low demand tomorrow (Sat 28th Sept 2024) in VIC during the middle of the day, we take a quick look at how forecasts compare to prior low points.
Low, getting lower … AEMO’s forecasts for ‘Market Demand’ on Saturday 28th September 2024
A quick update (early Friday 27th September 2024) looking at AEMO’s successive forecasts for ‘Market Demand’ in Victoria for Saturday 28th September 2024 (timed for just prior to center bounce for AFL GF, and following from earlier ‘Minimum System Load’ advisory).
NSW minimum demand falls lower, on Sunday 22nd September 2024
On Sunday 22nd September 2024 the minimum demand point for ‘Market Demand’ in NSW dropped lower still.
Spring demand in NSW drops to new low point on Saturday 21st September 2024
The ‘Minimum Demand’ point in NSW is dropping further still, on Saturday 21st September 2024.
‘Minimum Demand’ point for NSW drops 226MW from last year’s low point (on Sunday 1st September 2024)
On Sunday 1st September 2024 the ‘minimum demand’ point in NSW ratcheted lower still – a drop of 6% on the preceding ‘lowest ever’ point set just over 10 months ago.
‘Market Demand’ in NSW briefly drops to 3,650MW on Saturday 31st August 2024 – a new all-time low point
Saturday 31st August 2024 saw warm temperatures and high rooftop PV yield contribute to a new low point for ‘Market Demand’ in NSW
Queensland ‘Market Demand’ drops below 3,000MW (for the first time in over 20 years), on Sunday 18th August 2024
Sunday 18th August 2024 sees Queensland reach a new ‘lowest’ point for ‘Market Demand’ … not quite 8 months after it saw a ‘highest ever’ point for ‘Market Demand’. Stretched at both ends, and a clear indication of the challenges of this energy transition.
Out with a bang or a whimper? And a puzzle or two.
Guest author Allan O’Neil continues our series of posts on very low system demand levels in South Australia and Victoria on New Year’s Eve, with a few unresolved questions remaining
Recapping the accelerating decline in ‘Minimum Demand’ levels across the NEM, at the end of 2023
A tabular summary of how ‘declining demand’ has been an accelerating theme in most regions of the NEM (and NEM-wide) through 2023.
Recapping lowest points for demand today in Victoria (Part 4)
Part 4 in a series today, about what happened in Victoria with minimum demand and warnings of possible intervention to *increase* demand.
Also new ‘lowest ever’ point for Market Demand in South Australia on Sunday 31st December 2023
Fourth article today, taking a quick look at neighbouring South Australia – which has also seen a new ‘lowest ever’ level of Market Demand.