AEMO forecasts impressive evening demand in QLD on Saturday 27th Jan 2024 (middle of a 3-day weekend)
A late morning look at AEMO’s forecasts for Saturday evening 27th January 2024.
Articles by Paul McArdle
One of three founders of Global-Roam back in 2000, Paul has been CEO of the company since that time.
As an author on WattClarity, Paul's focus has been to help make the electricity market more understandable.
Evening burst of volatility in (QLD and) NSW on Friday 26th January 2024
A short article to record some evening volatility in NSW (and briefly QLD) on Friday 26th January 2024
AEMO’s forecasts for higher ‘Market Demand’ in NSW on Thursday evening 25th January 2024 don’t materialise
A quick look-back on the what was forecast, and what actually happened, for ‘Market Demand’ in NSW on Thursday 25th Jan 2024.
First output at Tallawarra B
A brief record, using ez2view, of the very early output data for EnergyAustralia’s Tallawarra B station.
Record of ‘trip to house load’ (TTHL) at Tarong unit 4 yesterday
Given I had ez2view’s ‘Bids & Offers’ widget open and can now access bid data for yesterday, a quick toggle confirms yesterday’s hunch of a TTHL operation at Tarong Unit 4.
Tarong unit 2 has come offline as previously signalled … slightly earlier than planned (but only after the massive demand peak)
Closing the loop following earlier articles about TARONG#2 as one of two ‘units to watch’, confirming the unit’s come offline to fix a tube leak.
Millmerran unit 1 came offline as planned … but only after the massive demand peak
After the heat (and high demand) had subsided in QLD on Monday 22nd Jan 2024, Millmerran Unit 1 outage began – as had been previously telegraphed.
AEMO forecasts deep LOR2 in NSW on Thursday 25th January 2024
Whilst still recovering from Mon 22nd Jan 2024, this article takes a first look towards Thu 25th Jan 2024 (which could be a big one in NSW).
QLD ‘Market Demand’ cracks 11,000MW … at 16:40 on Monday 22nd Jan 2024 (and continues to climb fast)
In the 16:40 dispatch interval (Monday 22nd January 2024) the ‘Market Demand’ in Queensland exceeded 11,000MW for the first time ever.
What’s running in QLD at 16:35 on Monday 22nd January 2024 … will there be load shedding as solar rolls off?
Given the afternoon’s receding (and so is the massive amount of solar production seen today) here’s a quick look at what else is running, and could possibly ramp up to replace the solar and help to avoid load shedding.
QLD sees new all-time record for ‘Market Demand’, from 15:45 on Monday 22nd January 2024
On Monday 22nd Jan 2024 the QLD region has absolutely *smashed* the prior record for regional ‘Market Demand’
QLD ‘Scheduled Demand’ reaches 10,052MW (at 15:40 on Monday 22nd Jan 2024) and continues to climb
At 15:40 (Mon 22nd Jan 2024) the demand reached the highest point seen the day before, and is continuing to climb.
QLD ‘Market Demand’ accelerating past 9,200MW … forecast (at 14:25) to reach 10,523MW at 17:30
An update from ~14:30 Monday 22nd Jan 2024 looking ahead to this evening in QLD.
Central Brisbane apparent temperature exceeds 41degC on Mon 22nd Jan 2024
A short walk outside prompts a quick look at Brisbane apparent temperature … equals the high mark set in February 2017
At 10:22, AEMO forecasts possible LOR2 (low reserve condition) for QLD for Monday evening 22nd Jan 2024
Mon 22nd Jan at 10:22 the AEMO has informed the market of possible LOR2 low reserve condition in QLD.
What about those 2 x coal-fired units in QLD we suggested you watch?
An updated look at those two coal units in QLD that are limping through until a chance for an ‘Unplanned Forced Outage’.
As at 07:35 – P30 for ‘Market Demand’ in QLD for Monday 22nd Jan 2024 still forecast a new all-time maximum
A quick update (from 07:35 Mon 22nd Jan 2024) of forecast demand conditions for this evening in QLD.
QLD demand blasts past 10,000MW … on a Sunday evening (21st January 2024)
A quick record of an extreme level of demand in QLD on Sunday evening (21st Jan 2024).
AEMO’s current forecast sees 3.5 hours in QLD with ‘Market Demand’ above 10,000MW on Mon 22nd Jan 2024
The middle of the day Sunday (so ~30 hours before the point of interest) sees an opportunity to take an updated look at how extreme AEMO is forecasting Monday (22nd Jan) evening demand in QLD will be…
14-year trend in growth of maximum demand in Queensland
A short post looking back >14 years over trends of daily maximum demand in QLD