Derivation of Underlying Demand in NSW on 29th, 30th and 31st January 2019
Winding back the clock to summer 2018-19 we take a look at (our derivation of) Underlying Demand for NSW on 29th, 30th and Thu 31st Jan 2019.
Articles by Paul McArdle
One of three founders of Global-Roam back in 2000, Paul has been CEO of the company since that time.
As an author on WattClarity, Paul's focus has been to help make the electricity market more understandable.
Derivation of Underlying Demand in NSW on 30th and 31st January and 1st February 2020
Winding back the clock to summer 2019-20 we take a look at (our derivation of) Underlying Demand on Thu 30th Jan, Fri 31st Jan and Sat 1st Feb 2020.
So where does NSW peak demand on Thu 29th Feb 2024 sit in historical context?
Putting the high demand seen in NSW on Thu 29th Feb 2024 in historical context.
So how much did Eraring Power Station supply, of the NSW electricity consumption, at peak demand time on Thursday 29th February 2024?
Last article (on the day) about Thu 29th Feb 2024. Prompted by an AFR article just over 24 hours ago, how large was the contribution of Eraring Power Station to the NSW electricity region today?
NSW ‘Underlying Demand’ peaks at 15,100MW at 15:00 (NEM time) on Thu 29th Feb 2024
Pulling together an estimate for ‘Underlying Demand’ in NSW for Thursday 29th February 2024, it was very big – and occurred earlier than the peak in ‘Market Demand’, and is measured in different ways by different people.
NSW ‘Market Demand’ peaks at 13764MW
At 16:35 on Thu 29th Feb 2024 the NSW demand peaked at its highest point in summer 2023-24.
A first look at the NSW price spike at 15:10 (NEM time) on Thu 29th Feb 2024
Took a first look at the 15:10 price spike to the $16,600/MWh Market Price Cap in NSW on Thu 29th Feb 2024.
‘Market Demand’ in NSW above 13,000MW in mid afternoon Thu 29th Feb 2024
A mid-afternoon update about NSW on Thu 29th Feb 2024.
The forecast LOR2 is gone, but forecasts for spicy prices remain for NSW on Thu 29th Feb 2024
It’s early afternoon so here’s a quick look at forecasts for NSW on Thursday evening 29th Feb 2024.
A quick look back at the coincident short outages at Tarong 1 and Tarong 2 yesterday
It’s Thursday 29th Feb 2024 and with ‘next day public’ bid data we take a look back at the (very similarly profiled) short notice outages at Tarong unit 1 and unit 2 yesterday (Wed 28th Feb 2024).
Still a forecast LOR2 for NSW on Thursday 29th February 2024, but not as severe as earlier forecasts
AEMO current forecasts (at early afternoon Wed 28th Feb) still show a tight supply-demand balance in NSW for Thu 29th Feb afternoon/evening, but not as severe.
Both Tarong units back online ~3 hours later
Following the earlier trips … TARONG#1 has come online, closely followed by TARONG#2.
Two units at Tarong come offline Wednesday morning 28th Feb 2024 … not planned in advance
TARONG#1 has come offline from close to minimum load this morning, closely followed by TARONG#2 (also from close to minimum load) – Wednesday 28th February 2024
Evening volatility in South Australia on Tue 27th Feb 2024 + bushfire risk
A short article, recording the start of evening volatility in South Australia … and the coincident bushfire risk.
Temporary replacement towers up, for the Moorabool Sydenham No1 500 kV line (on Sun 25th Feb 2024)
A reader has helped point out that temporary towers brought the Moorabool Sydenham No1 500 kV line back into service on Sun 25th Feb 2024 (with No2 line still out).
The forecast LOR2 for NSW on Thursday 29th February 2024 grows more extreme…
AEMO updated forecasts for LOR2 in NSW (and now QLD) for Thursday 29th Feb 2024 are now more severe than the earlier forecasts.
CFA warns of ‘Catastrophic and extreme fire danger’ for parts of Victoria tomorrow (Wed 28th Feb 2024)
A short note looking at CFA warnings of ‘Extreme Bushfire Risk’ for locations in Victoria on Wednesday 28th February 2024.
Stubborn forecasts for LOR2 (low reserve condition) for NSW for Thursday evening 29th February 2024
A Tuesday morning article, looking ahead to forecasts of LOR2 (tight supply-demand balance) for NSW on Thursday evening 29th February 2024
Volatility in QLD and NSW on Monday 26th February 2024
A short record of evening volatility in Queensland and NSW on Monday 26th February 2024.
Tuesday 31st October 2023 sees the only two instances (in Q4, and all year) of AggROT for Semi-Scheduled units < -500MW
Also from GenInsights Quarterly Updates for 2023 Q4, the particular case of Tuesday 31st October 2023 is also worth sharing (and a broad audience understanding).