Hot weather (and low wind) bring price action to South Australia on Thursday afternoon 5th December 2024
Worth a brief article with this NEMwatch snapshot at 14:15 (NEM time) with the spot price in South Australia at $12,500.44/MWh.
Articles by Paul McArdle
Paul was one of the founders of Global-Roam in February 2000. He is currently the CEO of the company and the principal author of WattClarity. Writing for WattClarity has become a natural extension of his work in understanding the electricity market, enabling him to lead the team in developing better software for clients.
Before co-founding the company, Paul worked as a Mechanical Engineer for the Queensland Electricity Commission in the early 1990s. He also gained international experience in Japan, the United States, Canada, the UK, and Argentina as part of his ES Cornwall Memorial Scholarship.
The extended outage at Eraring unit 3 (as at Thu morning 5th Dec 2024)
We thought we'd take a quick look at Eraring unit 3, given it was the focus of Colin Packham’s article yesterday in the Australian.
Spicy prices forecast in NSW (and LOR2) … with ‘N-CTMN_4_WG_CLOSE’ constraint set now invoked again
A short note for Tuesday morning 3rd December 2024 to highlight the emergence of forecast LOR2 conditions (and spicy prices) in NSW for later today
(Afternoon and) Evening volatility in NSW and QLD on Monday 2th December 2024
A short record of some high prices in NSW and QLD from 17:35 (NEM time) on Monday 2nd December 2024.
An updated view of outage plans for Scheduled units above 200MW in NSW and QLD
Given the tight supply-demand balance forecast for NSW and QLD this week, it’s worth revisiting the ‘Generator Outages’ widget in ez2view at 15:35 on Sunday 24th November 2024 to show what the current status...
Forecast load shedding (i.e. LOR3) in NSW on Wednesday 27th November 2024 now above 1,000MW
AEMO's MN120879 rates special mention, given the size of largest load shedding forecast for NSW on Wednesday afternoon/evening is above 1,000MW.
AEMO now forecasting possible LOR3 (i.e. load shedding) in NSW on Wednesday 27th November 2024
The most recent ST PASA forecast now shows a sliver of forecast LOR3 (i.e. forecast Load Shedding) for the NSW region on Wed 27th Nov 2024
The forecasts for LORx in NSW on Tuesday 26th November 2024 have been dialled down considerably … why is that the case?
In the >36 hours since an article on Wednesday the forecasts for LORx on Tuesday 26th November 2024 have become less strident. We start to look at why...
Noting the new “Firm Energy Reliability Mechanism” being proposed in South Australia
Worth noting the proposed 'Firm Energy Reliability Mechanism’ from the South Australian Government - with live online information session Monday 25th November 2024.
Noting the ECA’s Rule Change Submission for Energy Users to have access to Real Time Data for their own consumption
Whilst publishing articles here today about Rule Change Proposals, it’s worth me also flagging the ECA proposal for 'Access to real time data for consumers'.
Delta’s ‘relatively urgent’ Rule Change reverts to the (slower) ‘standard rules consultation process’ at the AEMC
Today the AEMC weekly email notes that: ‘We will use the standard rules consultation process to assess Delta Electricity’s proposal to allow cash as credit support. We received a valid objection to the proposed...
Here’s a few things to watch, w.r.t. the forecast tight supply-demand balance in NSW (and QLD) for early next week
In this article on Wednesday evening 20th November 2024 we suggest a couple factors to keep an eye on, leading into the expected tight supply-demand balance (and possible load shedding) in NSW on Tuesday...
It’s back! Forecast LOR3 for NSW on Monday 26th November 2024
It should be no surprise to readers that we’ve more recently slipped back below that threshold line (back into ‘forecast LOR3’ territory) in MN120725 published at 17:10 on Wed 20th Nov 2024.
AEMO notes cancellation of forecast LOR3 for NSW on Tuesday 26th November 2024
On Wednesday afternoon, the AEMO notes that the Forecast LOR3 condition (for NSW on Tuesday 26th Nov 2024) is cancelled ... but only just.
An inter-regional interconnector refers to *the whole of* the transmission path between RRNs
We already noted this a few times recently, but we thought it would be worth separating out as its own article under the ‘Energy Literacy’ category, as it’s likely we’ll be referring back to...
AEMO updates forecast LOR3 for NSW on Tuesday 26th November 2024 (less severe)
AEMO's latest update at 10:00 (NEM time) on Wednesday 20th November 2024 in MN120702 shows the forecast severity of LOR3 (i.e. load shedding) in NSW on Tuesday 26th Nov 2024 has dropped (but not...
Bayswater Unit 4 begins to return to service – Wednesday morning 20th November 2024
Given forecasts for early next week in NSW, it’s some welcome news to see that the BW04 unit has commenced its return to service process.
AEMO publishes ‘Request for Generator Recall Information for the period from 25/11/2024 to 26/11/2024 for NSW Region’
Things are not currently* looking rosy for the NSW region early next week ... so it's no surprise to see AEMO asking (on Wednesday morning 20th Nov 2024) for generator recall information.
Frequency drop coincident with trip of Callide C3 unit, on Wednesday morning 20th November 2024
A short note to flag the apparent trip of Callide C3 just prior to 06:35 (NEM time) on Wednesday 20th November 2024.
Updated forecast for LOR3 for Tuesday 26th November 2024 grows more severe
AEMO’s MN120671 forecast LOR3 was published at 15:33 NEM time on Tuesday 19th November 2024 – so it’s worth noting that ~7 hours later, MN120698 was published – with a deeper forecast LOR3 highlighted.