Thursday morning look ahead to forecasts for tomorrow (Friday 3rd Feb) evening in Queensland
A quick Thursday morning look at changing forecasts for Friday evening in QLD.
Forecasts pointing to record demand and other risks in QLD for Friday afternoon.. but caveats aplenty
Our fourth article looking forward to this Friday afternoon (3rd February 2023) in the Queensland region, where successive AEMO STPASA forecast data is showing considerable variability about what peak demand might be for the QLD region (it *might*, if predictions turn into reality, smash the prior all-time record). Dan Lee looks into how the demand forecast has been evolving and what to watch for this Friday afternoon.
A burst of heat and volatility in QLD on Tuesday 31st January 2023
A quick recap of some market volatility (and other developments) in QLD on Monday 31st January 2023
Examining the $112/MWh revenue that Genex’ Jemalong Solar Farm generated in Q4 2022
Dan Lee uses our hot-off-the-press GSD2022 to examine the Q4 revenue figures that Genex Power recently released for Jemalong Solar Farm.
Tuesday afternoon look at the (escalating) forecast for Friday 3rd February 2022 … but later the forecast LOR2 was cancelled, and then reinstated
Second article (on Tuesday 31st Jan 2023) looking forward towards a tight supply-demand balance forecast for the QLD region on Friday evening 3rd February 2023.
Farewell Liddell
Guest author, Allan O’Neil, takes the release of the GSD2022 as an opportunity to take a look at the past 10 years of performance of the four-unit Liddell Power Station (one unit closed in 2022 and three to close soon in 2023), contrasting against two other black coal-fired stations.
The Generator Statistical Digest 2022 (GSD2022) is released
Following a focused effort over the past two months, we’ve released the updated statistical record of operations in Australia’s National Electricity Market … the Generator Statistical Digest 2022 (GSD2022)
Forecast LOR2 (and new record demand) for QLD region on Friday 3rd February
Second article this week about a forecast LOR2 Low Reserve Condition that has arisen for QLD this Friday 3rd February (coincident with what would be a new all-time record for peak demand).
What does ‘Rethinking Capitalism’ mean, for the National Electricity Market?
We thought it would be worth linking to Jim Chalmers’ article this week in The Monthly, as it seems these ideas will have (more) implications for the National Electricity Market.
Might see more price volatility this week … at least in QLD?
With Brisbane feeling more like a ‘normal’ summer in recent days, we took a look at the demand forecast for the coming week.
AEMO releases Q4 2022 Quarterly Energy Dynamics (QED) report
A short note marking today’s release of the AEMO’s QED for Q4 2022 and the subsequent media coverage thus far.
Coal crunch within sight, with Eraring scheduled closure in 19th August 2025
One other thing noticed this morning was the scheduled drop in coal availability in spring 2025 (not just because of Eraring’s scheduled closure).
Expected Return to Service date for Callide C3* slips further back, to 30th June 2023
A short article about a further delay in the expected return to service date for Callide C3 (which is offline after suffering cooling tower failure).
A subdued start to summer 2022-23
It’s been quite quiet on a price alert front so far this summer … here’s one reason why.
Using the (draft of) GSD2022 to investigate those Solar Farms suffering significant curtailment
An article on RenewEconomy this week (about some analysis by analysts at ANU) coincided with our review of sequential drafts of the GSD2022, and prompted this article to have a look at some reported lost production at a number of solar farms across the NEM.
South Australia’s Energy Minister triggers the Retailer Reliability Obligation (RRO) for SA in Q1 2026
A release from the AER states that SA’s Minister for Energy and Mining has triggered the RRO (and hence MLO) in South Australia for Q1 2026.
More delays in expected Return to Service (RTS) for both Callide C3 and C4
Yesterday (Wed 28th Dec) CS Energy informed the market of further delays in RTS for Callide C3 and C4 – today we take a quick look.
Media buzz about compensation for Gladstone Power Station under the coal price cap
Two media articles (in the Guardian and the Australian) prompt a quick article, utilising an in-development copy of the up-coming GSD2022.
Tis the season … for a ‘bomb cyclone’ in North America that stretches wholesale supplies of electricity (and leaves >1M customers off supply with localised network outages)
All’s been quiet in the Australian National Electricity Market … which is not the same as the situation in North America, where extreme cold has stretched supplies across a large swathe of the country and storms have disrupted supply to more than a million people.
‘NEM Local Temperature Alert’ for Port Augusta on Monday 26th December 2022
A short note about AEMO’s MN104622 … with a high temperature warning for Port Augusta for 26th December 2022.