Day-ahead demand forecasts will be integral to any future ‘Ahead Market’. We take a look at the current state and accuracy trend of demand forecasts made 24 hours ahead as part of the broader piece of work to feed into GenInsights21.
A short article marking (yet) another volatile evening in the NEM in this ‘elephant’ of a Q2 2021… now with some added challenges for gas-fired generation.
Following Saturday’s review of changed expectations for Callide Power Station and Yallourn Power Station, I took a look at aggregate expectation by fuel type. Here’s a belated article with the results.
A few recent developments have prompted this article about Villain no8, a villain initially contemplated prior to my ‘forecast of sorts’ back at Clean Energy Summit in July 2017.
An old adage runs that to eat an elephant, it’s best to proceed in small servings. With a very eventful Q2 in the NEM not yet finished, the number of headline events is already large enough – unexpected price volatility…
After taking a quick look at the Callide units, we’ve also used ez2view to have a quick look at the Yallourn units to see when they are scheduled to return.
A quick look this afternoon sees that the return to service for Callide B2 has been delayed a few days since I last looked during the week.
A series of questions about what’s happening at Newport Power Station prompted me to have a quick look…
A feature of the upcoming EMMS technical specification that distinguishes demand response units from scheduled loads could impact some users of NEM data, if left unmanaged.
A short note about return to service of Kogan Creek power station early this morning.
Carl Daley of EnergyByte examines the ramifications of the Callide Power Station outage and discusses the big losers and winners from the situation.
A short note to follow up on the welcome return-to-service of Callide B1.
The volatility that has been with us for weeks now (particularly QLD and NSW), and the dramas unfolding at Callide power station, prompted me to have a broader look at the availability of black coal plant across QLD and NSW, and compare this to prior Q2 periods.
Late yesterday I noted how the situation at Yallourn was more complex than we had been initially thinking, so it was no surprise to see Yallourn unit 3 come back offline early this morning to conserve dwindling fuel supplies: Above…
With expectations set last week that Callide B1 would be back online yesterday at minimum load, I’ve had a quick look and can’t see it yet…
It was volatile this morning well past that’s become ‘normal’ and the volatility has returned (as I expected it would) this evening. Here’s the snapshot of the 17:20 dispatch interval from one of our NEMwatch v10 dashboards: As highlighted: 1) …
A media release by EnergyAustralia this afternoon (Tue 15th June) about Yallourn mine flooding prompts an updated look on Wattclarity…
Morning spot price volatility in the QLD region persists further into the morning (Tue 15th June) than has become expected.
A short note on Tuesday morning to highlight that YWPS3 has re-joined YWPS1 back online.
A short note to recognise the spot price volatility continuing for Monday 14th June 2021.