Forecast evening demand for QLD falling away for Thu 27th Jan 2024
An afternoon update (16:05) of the forecasts for QLD this evening, Sat 27th Jan 2024
Summer 2023-24 in the NEM
A collection of articles pertaining to summer 2023-24 in the NEM – including;
1. Forecasts and concerns ahead of time
2. What unfolded in real time through the summer
3 . More considered articles looking backwards on the summer period.
AEMO announces intention to commence RERT negotiations in QLD–on Saturday 27th January 2024
The AEMO has announced intention to negotiate for RERT (Reserve Trader) in a very hot QLD for possible dispatch later on Saturday 27th January 2024.
AEMO forecasts impressive evening demand in QLD on Saturday 27th Jan 2024 (middle of a 3-day weekend)
A late morning look at AEMO’s forecasts for Saturday evening 27th January 2024.
Evening burst of volatility in (QLD and) NSW on Friday 26th January 2024
A short article to record some evening volatility in NSW (and briefly QLD) on Friday 26th January 2024
AEMO’s forecasts for higher ‘Market Demand’ in NSW on Thursday evening 25th January 2024 don’t materialise
A quick look-back on the what was forecast, and what actually happened, for ‘Market Demand’ in NSW on Thursday 25th Jan 2024.
First output at Tallawarra B
A brief record, using ez2view, of the very early output data for EnergyAustralia’s Tallawarra B station.
Record of ‘trip to house load’ (TTHL) at Tarong unit 4 yesterday
Given I had ez2view’s ‘Bids & Offers’ widget open and can now access bid data for yesterday, a quick toggle confirms yesterday’s hunch of a TTHL operation at Tarong Unit 4.
Tarong unit 2 has come offline as previously signalled … slightly earlier than planned (but only after the massive demand peak)
Closing the loop following earlier articles about TARONG#2 as one of two ‘units to watch’, confirming the unit’s come offline to fix a tube leak.
Putting Monday’s record-breaking demand in QLD into context (22nd Jan 2024)
Still trying to make sense of what did and didn’t happen in QLD last night, Dan Lee provides some context to how yesterday’s record-breaking demand compares to similar historical events.
Powering Up: Queensland’s Historic Leap in Energy Use
Geoff Eldridge of Global Power Energy publishes this summary of the demand records that were broken in QLD as the regoin sweltered through hot and humid conditions last night.
Millmerran unit 1 came offline as planned … but only after the massive demand peak
After the heat (and high demand) had subsided in QLD on Monday 22nd Jan 2024, Millmerran Unit 1 outage began – as had been previously telegraphed.
AEMO forecasts deep LOR2 in NSW on Thursday 25th January 2024
Whilst still recovering from Mon 22nd Jan 2024, this article takes a first look towards Thu 25th Jan 2024 (which could be a big one in NSW).
Unpicking the generation mix in QLD over the past four days
A quick summary of the bids/offers for each of the generation fuel types in QLD, as we examine the market conditions over the past four days.
Central Brisbane apparent temperature exceeds 41degC on Mon 22nd Jan 2024
A short walk outside prompts a quick look at Brisbane apparent temperature … equals the high mark set in February 2017
At 10:22, AEMO forecasts possible LOR2 (low reserve condition) for QLD for Monday evening 22nd Jan 2024
Mon 22nd Jan at 10:22 the AEMO has informed the market of possible LOR2 low reserve condition in QLD.
What about those 2 x coal-fired units in QLD we suggested you watch?
An updated look at those two coal units in QLD that are limping through until a chance for an ‘Unplanned Forced Outage’.
As at 07:35 – P30 for ‘Market Demand’ in QLD for Monday 22nd Jan 2024 still forecast a new all-time maximum
A quick update (from 07:35 Mon 22nd Jan 2024) of forecast demand conditions for this evening in QLD.
QLD demand blasts past 10,000MW … on a Sunday evening (21st January 2024)
A quick record of an extreme level of demand in QLD on Sunday evening (21st Jan 2024).
AEMO’s current forecast sees 3.5 hours in QLD with ‘Market Demand’ above 10,000MW on Mon 22nd Jan 2024
The middle of the day Sunday (so ~30 hours before the point of interest) sees an opportunity to take an updated look at how extreme AEMO is forecasting Monday (22nd Jan) evening demand in QLD will be…
‘Market Demand’ briefly peaks at a new all-time maximum in QLD (at 17:30 on Friday 19th January 2024)
A short article to record the new all-time maximum ‘Market Demand’ set today (Friday 19th January 2024) in Queensland