Reality is dawning … it would take a major miracle to reach 82% by 2030
In the past couple weeks (including at ACES 2026, but also elsewhere) it's seemed that the penny has dropped ... only by a miracle will we achieve 82% by 2030.
AEMO Integrated System Plan
A collection of articles directly about, and relating to, the AEMO’s Integrated System Plan
AEMO releases the 2026 ISP
It’s Thursday 25th June 2026 and, as it is required to do, the AEMO has released the 2026 iteration of the Integrated System Plan.
Confronting the stochastic reality of the National Electricity Market to avoid planning blind spots
The reasonable response is not to model the world as simpler than it is, but to confront its variability head-on: to treat stochastic inputs as stochastic, to plan for the distribution rather than its midpoint, and to build the margin of safety that resilience demands.
How realistic are those wind capacity factor assumptions in the draft 2026 ISP?
In the draft 2026 ISP, the AEMO materially increased wind capacity factor assumptions for several renewable energy zones. In this article, we compare those assumptions against actual capacity and availability factors for wind units across the NEM in 2025.
AEMO releases draft of 2026 ISP
Today (Wednesday 10th December 2025) the AEMO has released the much-awaited* draft of the (upcoming 2026 iteration of the) Integrated System Plan .
AEMC communicates two items, relating to a Review of the Integrated System Plan (ISP)
Amongst the many emails that hit my inbox recently was an email from the AEMC that spoke to the ‘Package of ISP reform underway’ – and specifically these two arms.
Bruce Mountain (at NEMdev 2025) spoke to his significant concerns about the ISP
A short note to follow the NEMdev 2025 conference (Tue 7th and Wed 8th Oct 2025) and to highlight a comment made by Bruce Mountain about the ISP.
Sarah Lawley (at NEMdev 2025) spoke about what she sees as ‘circular reasoning’ in the ISP
A short note to follow the NEMdev 2025 conference (Tue 7th and Wed 8th Oct 2025) and to highlight a comment made by Sarah Lawley about the ISP.
‘the ISP Step Change Scenario is divorced from reality’
A short note about some comments made by Oliver Nunn during the 'Faster than Forecast' session at Queensland Clean Energy Summit on Mon 15th Sept 2025.
January’s final report ‘Review of the Integrated System Plan’ for the Ministerial Council is noted in the Senate
One of the things I noticed on social media over the past week or so (emanating out of the current Senate Committee on Energy Planning and Regulation in Australia) was the the enhanced visibility given to the ‘Final Report of the the Integrated System Plan’.
AEMO releases the 2024 ISP
The release of the 2024 ISP is a key focal point in the energy transition. Released today, 26 June, we note the publication and media attention.
Final report ‘Review of the Integrated System Plan’ for the Ministerial Council
Here’s a link to the final report 'Review of the ISP' from the Energy & Climate Change Ministerial Council back in January 2024.
Comments and questions about the 2024 draft ISP
Clutch's Mitch Baker has shared his initial thoughts and questions that jumped out to him from reading the AEMO's 2024 draft ISP.
AER released transparency review of the Australian Energy Market Operator’s (AEMO) draft Integrated System Plan (ISP)
We probably should have noted this at the time, but worth linking here to this short report by the AER, that was published on 15th January 2024.
AEMO released draft of 2024 Integrated System Plan … cue the media headlines
It's Friday 15th December 2023 and the AEMO has published its draft of the 2024 ISP, in time for everyone's Christmas reading list
AEMO releases 2022 Integrated System Plan (ISP)
A short note about the release of the final version of the AEMO's 2022 ISP that was published this morning.
AEMO published Addendum on the draft 2022 ISP
On Friday 11th March 2022, the AEMO published its 19-page ‘Addendum to the Draft 2022 ISP’, providing more detail on the four topics identified by the AER.
AER asks AEMO for more details on Assumptions about Coal Unit Closure in Draft 2022 ISP
The front page headline in the print copy of the AFR this morning 'AEMO told to reassess death of coal' jumped out at me ... and to others as well!
AEMO released draft of 2022 Integrated System Plan
Yesterday, Friday 10th December 2021, the AEMO released it's draft of the 2022 Integrated System Plan - and it has created a bit of a stir with some of the modelled results.
AEMO released 2020 Integrated System Plan (ISP)
A back-dated article about the AEMO's 2020 ISP