11am forecasts for LOR3 (load shedding) across the NEM for Tuesday 14th June 2022
A first look today at what’s forecast for load shedding this evening (some very large numbers for both QLD and NSW).
Queensland
AEMO cancels forecast load shedding (LOR3) in the QLD region for this evening
Small celebration!
NEM-wide IRPM down to only 13%
It’s 17:30 and the white knuckle ride through this evening begins…
Forecast LOR3 (load shedding) now spans NSW for Monday evening, 13th June … and QLD tomorrow (morning/evening) as well
The outlook continues to get worse and worse… forecast load shedding extended to NSW this evening and into QLD tomorrow as well.
AEMO’s updated forecast for load shedding this evening is up to 1,454MW (i.e. about the size of Brisbane)
AEMO’s updated forecast for load shedding in QLD this evening is for an enormous amount (1,454MW)
AEMO forecasts LOR3 (i.e. controlled Load Shedding) for QLD on Monday evening 13th June 2022
AEMO’s now forecasting load shedding for this evening … Monday 13th June 2022
QLD volatility Sunday evening explodes past the Cumulative Price Threshold (CPT)
A quick article Sunday evening as the Cumulative Price for the QLD region skyrockets ever so close to the Cumulative Price Threshold…
Four hours at above $1,000/MWh drives Cumulative Price well above $1,100,000 and close to Cumulative Price Threshold in QLD on Friday evening 10th June 2022
A later article reviewing how Cumulative Price in Queensland has jumped upwards this evening (towards the CPT) as a result of a solid four hours above $1,000/MWh.
Friday evening volatility in the QLD Region (escalated to actual LOR2)
Price volatility has returned to the QLD region on Friday evening 10th June 2022.
Brisbane’s week is ‘Coldest in 118 years’ … what is the outlook for electricity demand?
A news article this morning along the lines of ‘coldest in 100 years’ jumped out at me.
QLD’s morning volatility more extreme on Thursday 9th June
Price volatility in the QLD region rose to another level on Thursday morning, 9th June 2022
Queensland spot prices on Wed 8th June 2022 … a (discordant?!) Symphony in 3 Movements
Wednesday 8th June 2022 saw bust-boom-bust supply-demand balance, with yo-yo pricing resulting. Very topical, given discussions in various parts about a capacity market.
Evening price volatility on Tuesday 7th June 2022
A quick look at the start of price volatility on Tuesday evening, 7th June 2022
Morning dose of volatility in QLD – Tuesday 7th June 2022
A quick look at some of the factors of this morning’s price volatility in the QLD region.
Tight supply-demand balance on Monday evening 30th May 2022 drives prices high and IRPM low
A very quick summary of market volatility touching all regions across Monday 30th May 2022 … but particularly in the evening.
AEMO suspects possible LOR3 Lack of Reserve conditions in forecast for QLD next Monday 6th June 2022 … but it was data input error!
AEMO’s Market Notice 96633 jumped off the page for us…
Spot market volatility across all 4 mainland regions of the NEM – but particularly South Australia
I’ve already noted about the appropriateness of holding the EUAA National Conference this week … with gas and electricity spot prices being elevated as they have been in recent times! This evening (Monday 9th May 2022) market volatility has put…
A quick look at the (tight) QLD+NSW supply stack, on Tuesday evening 3rd May 2022
A first after-the-fact review of the price volatility seen in QLD and NSW on Tuesday evening, 2nd May 2022. What were some of the causal factors?
Volatility continues in QLD and NSW for Wednesday evening, 4th May 2022
Evening volatility re-occurs – in QLD and NSW on Wednesday 4th May 2022
Price volatility in QLD and NSW on Tuesday 3rd May 2022
A short note about this evening’s price volatility in QLD and NSW with tight supply-demand balance caused by import limitations (amongst other things).