With AEMO forecasting LOR3 (i.e. load shedding) in NSW for periods of time on Monday 16th December 2024, in this WattClarity article we take a first look. More to come *as time permits* (and as situations change, etc…).
There was an ‘Evening blast of spot price volatility in South Australia on Monday 23rd September 2024’ … roughly 6 weeks ago. Today, for several reasons, we start to take a closer look.
Worth a short note, given the alerts from ez2view have continued to buzz in recent days, as the AEMO continues to update forecast LOR2 warnings for both QLD and NSW regions for Thursday 7th November 2024.
A slightly longer summary (compared to this morning’s) of some evening volatility (across the NEM) on Monday evening 5th August 2024.
Coincidentally today, David Osmond has posted about ‘another challenging week’ for VRE NEM-wide (a week beginning Wed 8th May 2024 – the day NSW hit the Cumulative Price Threshold).
Taking a quick look at the dispatch interval through this period of low aggregate wind harvest that also saw lowest aggregate VRE (Wind + Large Solar).
A quick look back at the period before easter 2024, which was forecast to be a wet week in QLD … looking particularly at solar yield.
A quick look back at Tuesday 28th November 2023, a day of lowest Large Solar yield through 2023 Q4.
The second part of an ongoing case study examining two successive days of low VRE generation in early July 2023. This part examines IRPM, earlier forecasts of available generation and maps the availability by site location.
A brief article as a first Case Study looking at Mon 3rd and Tue 4th July 2023, in conjunction with the compilation of GenInsights Quarterly Updates for 2023 Q3.
A quick look at elevated prices mid afternoon on Monday 3rd July 2023.
A first look at a forecast for tight supply-demand conditions for South Australia on Wednesday 10th May 2023.
It’s taken longer than expected – but today I’ve posted this article that goes some way to answering the question ‘to what extent was solar production disappointing through periods of Q2 2022?’
In this article we take a quick look at how today’s widespread cloud cover is affecting solar production across QLD.
A quick article Monday evening about volatility in QLD.
A quick look into today’s high prices in QLD, and some of the contributing factors.
Geoff Bongers, Nathan Bongers and Andy Boston have prepared this guest authored article following on from their recently published paper about the characterisation and mitigation of renewable droughts in the NEM.
A short note about the start of the evening price spikes on Tuesday 6th July 2021 (these are ongoing, at the time this was posted).
In between other jobs today, we’ve taken a look at why the price spiked yesterday (Tue 20th April) in QLD … at an earlier time than we had become accustomed to seeing it occur in recent months.
Short article today observing higher Scheduled Demand in VIC – which appears to be in large part due to state-wide suppression of solar PV production with heavy cloud and rainfall.