VNI West given an official two year delay, with expected completion date pushed back to late 2030
Transmission Company Victoria (TCV) yesterday announced a two-year delay to the project delivery timeline for the VNI West project.
Electricity Statement of Opportunities (ESOO)
What’s the 2024 ESOO assume, in terms of coal unit performance?
In this article we explore the 2024 ESOO, and linked documents, in terms of what's assumed for coal unit EFOR - and why, in the light of recent improvements in coal unit performance (compared...
Once through the ESOO (for 2024)
After an initial skim through the 2024 ESOO, here's (the start of) a collation of thoughts that it triggers.
AEMO releases 2024 ESOO on Thursday 29th August 2024
On Thursday 29th August 2024 the AEMO released the 2024 ESOO (Electricity Statement of Opportunities) for the NEM. Here's where to get it, and also links to relevant news media articles that we've seen.
What the last twenty years of the ESOO tells us about blackout predictions
After skimming through the last twenty editions of the ESOO over the past couple of days, Dan shares some thoughts about what has and hasn't changed over the years.
Who’s who in the ESOO Part 2
Part 2 of this analysis into the latest update of the ESOO, its modelling, and the project development pipeline.
Who’s who in the ESOO
A compiled list of development projects delayed or leaving the market in between the ESOO2023 and its update released two weeks ago. Along with some analysis of longer term trends with the development pipeline.
AEMO publishes a tender for Interim Reliability Reserves (i.e. Reserve Trader)
Following today's publication of the AEMO has also called for ‘Interim Reliability Reserves’ for summer 2024-25.
AEMO releases an update to the 2023 ESOO on Tuesday 21st May 2024
It's Tuesday 21st May 2024 and the AEMO has published an update to the 2023 ESOO ... about 8 months since the publication of the prior release, and 4 months before the 2024 ESOO....
2024 Consultation on Forecasting Accuracy Report Methodology
The methodology used to assess performance of AEMO's longer-term forecasts is under review via the consultation process.
An ESOO snippet – how effective are different technologies at enhancing reliability?
In his second article about the 2023 ESOO, guest author Allan O'Neil takes a look at what the AEMO has published with respect to various options for firming capacity to increase the reliability of...
Stock up on candles?
Last Thursday (31st Aug 2023) the AEMO published the ESOO 2023, including forecasts of some possibility of unserved energy in Victoria and South Australia this coming summer 2023-24 (above the Interim Reliability Measure). Guest...
The 2023 ESOO again prompts the question … ‘what’s the contingency plan’?
The 2023 ESOO contains some some reporting (and data) about one particular contingency plan ... delaying retirement of existing thermal generators (with Eraring a case in point).
Here’s 7 Observations that jumped out to me in a first skim of the 2023 ESOO
Apart from a distraction early this morning, I've invested some hours today in review of the 2023 ESOO. Here's 7 initial observations that jumped out at me.
With the 2023 ESOO report, different views about which USE figure should the AEMO have led with?
Here's my view on whether Figure 2 should have preceded Figure 1 (with respect to projections of unserved energy ... USE) in the 2023 ESOO.
The 2023 ESOO report shows coal unit EFOR is still a significant factor
One observation about the 2023 ESOO is that EFOR (equivalent forced outage rate) for coal and large gas units is a large and growing challenge.
The 2023 ESOO report clarifies why the transmission model only includes ‘System Normal’ – and why it’s a simplification
One observation about the 2023 ESOO is that AEMO is has highlighted the set of constraints modelled is only 'System Normal'.
The 2023 ESOO modelling provides a more accurate real world depiction of Wind Farm limitations at high temperatures
One observation about the 2023 ESOO is that AEMO is now modelling (more accurately) the high temperature degradation on wind farm performance.
AEMO releases 2023 ESOO on Thursday 31st August 2023 (Australia’s NEM is perched on the edge)
AEMO notes that 'Australia's NEM is perched on the edge' in the 2023 ESOO, released today (Thu 31st Aug 2023)
AEMO publishes an Update to the 2022 ESOO
On Tuesday 21st February 2023 the AEMO published an update on its 2022 ESOO.