All too often people (including us sometimes, unfortunately) are quick to attribute some particular outcome to a single contributing factor. Almost always this is an over-simplification.
Highlighting the temptation to ascribe motivation to others - despite the fact that we understand that we can never know for sure.
A starting list of all the factors I would like to delve into, in order to perform an objective review of what happened last Thursday and Friday in Victoria and South Australia
Flagging the ongoing challenge of not extrapolating from recent performance to infer that "things" will always be that way.
One of the challenges in analysis is to even be conscious of the need to ascertain "what might have otherwise been".
A collection of articles speaking to some core analytical challenges. Others are categorised elsewhere – like my prior thoughts on three reasons why forecasting is a mug’s game.
Why are we investing significant time in completing this review of what was remarkable price volatility in QLD over summer? We're primarily a software company that develops shrink-wrapped products used by about 100 market participants, spectators and commentators.