AEMO’s updated forecast for load shedding this evening is up to 1,454MW (i.e. about the size of Brisbane)

The wheels seem to have fallen off the energy market … at 11:51:28 AEMO updated it’s previously dire forecast for load shedding to make it even worse:

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MARKET NOTICE
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From : AEMO
To : NEMITWEB1
Creation Date : 13/06/2022 11:51:28

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Notice ID : 97061
Notice Type ID : RESERVE NOTICE
Notice Type Description : LRC/LOR1/LOR2/LOR3
Issue Date : 13/06/2022
External Reference : PDPASA – Update of the Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 3 (LOR3) in the QLD Region on 13/06/2022

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Reason :

AEMO ELECTRICITY MARKET NOTICE

The Forecast LOR3 condition in the QLD region advised in AEMO Electricity Market Notice No. 97046 has been updated at 1130 hrs to the following:

[1.] From 1700 hrs 13/06/2022 to 2300 hrs 13/06/2022.
The maximum load (other than interruptible loads) forecast to be interrupted is 1454 MW at 1730 hrs.

AEMO is seeking a market response.

AEMO estimates the latest time it would need to intervene through an AEMO intervention event is 1230 hrs on 13/06/2022

Manager NEM Real Time Operations

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END OF REPORT
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Note that, in rough terms, 1,454MW represents the lion’s share of consumption right across Brisbane!