AEMO forecasts MSL1 for the coming Saturday 4th October 2025 and Sunday 5th October 2025

Firstly at 14:50:05 the AEMO published MN129372 as follows:

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MARKET NOTICE
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From :              AEMO
To   :              NEMITWEB1
Creation Date :     29/09/2025     14:50:05

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Notice ID               :         129372
Notice Type ID          :         MINIMUM SYSTEM LOAD
Notice Type Description :         MSL1/MSL2/MSL3
Issue Date              :         29/09/2025
External Reference      :         Forecast Minimum System Load (MSL1) condition in the VIC region on 04/10/2025

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Reason :

AEMO ELECTRICITY MARKET NOTICE

AEMO has detected that there is an elevated risk of insufficient demand to maintain a secure operating state in the VIC region on 04/10/2025.

Minimum System Load (MSL) conditions are forecast when regional demand is less than the relevant MSL threshold. The advisory MSL thresholds are:
o    MSL1 – 1675 MW
o    MSL2 – 1175 MW
o    MSL3 – 675 MW

The regional demand is forecast to be below the MSL1 threshold for the following period:

From 1200 hrs to 1330 hrs 04/10/2025. Minimum regional demand is forecast to be 1547 MW at 1300 hrs.

Forecast regional demand (DEMAND50) is published in Short Term and Pre-Dispatch PASA region solution reports available on Market Data NEMWEB: https://aemo.com.au/en/energy-systems/electricity/national-electricity-market-nem/data-nem/market-data-nemweb.

AEMO Operations

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END OF REPORT
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Then at 14:50:18 the AEMO published MN129373 as follows:

‘——————————————————————-
MARKET NOTICE
——————————————————————-

From :              AEMO
To   :              NEMITWEB1
Creation Date :     29/09/2025     14:50:18

——————————————————————-

Notice ID               :         129373
Notice Type ID          :         MINIMUM SYSTEM LOAD
Notice Type Description :         MSL1/MSL2/MSL3
Issue Date              :         29/09/2025
External Reference      :         Forecast Minimum System Load (MSL1) condition in the VIC region on 05/10/2025

——————————————————————-

Reason :

AEMO ELECTRICITY MARKET NOTICE

AEMO has detected that there is an elevated risk of insufficient demand to maintain a secure operating state in the VIC region on 05/10/2025.

Minimum System Load (MSL) conditions are forecast when regional demand is less than the relevant MSL threshold. The advisory MSL thresholds are:
o    MSL1 – 1535 MW
o    MSL2 – 1035 MW
o    MSL3 – 535 MW

The regional demand is forecast to be below the MSL1 threshold for the following period:

From 1100 hrs to 1300 hrs 05/10/2025. Minimum regional demand is forecast to be 1399 MW at 1230 hrs.

Forecast regional demand (DEMAND50) is published in Short Term and Pre-Dispatch PASA region solution reports available on Market Data NEMWEB: https://aemo.com.au/en/energy-systems/electricity/national-electricity-market-nem/data-nem/market-data-nemweb .

AEMO Operations

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END OF REPORT
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