At 13:06 NEM time the AEMO published MN121831 and 121833 noting the cancellation of the forecast LOR3 that was in place for both Monday 16th December 2024 and Tuesday 17th December 2024.
No need to copy them in here, but (for anyone who read the clues earlier) they’ll not be surprised that the ‘N-X_AVMA_KCTX’ constraint set has been pushed back by ~48 hours. We see this in the ‘Constraint Sets’ widget snapshot below at 13:10:
For what it’s worth, here’s the updated ‘Constraint Set Details’ widget for the ‘N-X_AVMA_KCTX’ constraint set (at 13:20 NEM time), so you can read specific times:
Important for readers to understand that, whilst the forecast load shedding has abated, the forecast demand is still quite high on Monday 16th December 2024 (for NSW, VIC and NEM-wide) so it’s likely there’ll be some market action on that day, and the day following in NSW.
For instance, some (lower level) LORx conditions remain forecasted for NSW for both days (and VIC on Monday) – as we see here in this ‘Forecast Convergence’ collage from ez2view at 13:20 NEM time:
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